An
option gives us the right but not the obligation to purchase at
a predetermined price. Options can be used on almost any type
of investment, real estate, stocks, and the subject here; futures
contracts.
An
option on a futures contract gives us the right but not the obligation
to purchase a futures contract at a given price called the strike
price. An investor can establish a position on the market by purchasing
an option without accepting unlimited risk that he or she may
incur by owning the underlying futures contract i.e. a 20% decrease
in the underlying futures contract an option owner is still has
limited exposure, limited to what he paid for the option. Options
on futures contracts are traded on the same exchanges as the underlying
futures contract. Option buyers and sellers may liquidate their
options at any time during market hours. Depending on our view
of the market (which way is it going) we will purchase either
a put (we think prices are going lower) or a call (we think prices
are going higher). When an investor buys an option, he or she
pays a premium (price) for the option. The premium is made up
of intrinsic value (the amount of money the option is "in
the money") and time value (the amount of time we have left
until the option expires). The premium that an investor pays for
an option when bought is the most he or she can lose (plus commissions)
no matter how far the futures price moves against our bullish
or bearish position. The time value and intrinsic value can best
be explained in the following ex... The futures price is at 71
and the 70 call for the same underlying futures price is trading
at 125 points then we have 25 points of time value and 100 point
of intrinsic value.
Option
premium = time value + intrinsic value
Time
value - The amount of time an option has until it expires.
Intrinsic value - The relationship of the futures price to the
strike price of an option.
Strike
Price of an Option
Each option has what is called a strike price. Exchange traded
options are offered at various strike prices, usually at round
numbers, i.e. 260, 270, etc. Options are not only offered according
to strike but also according to the month. The strike price is
the price of the underlying futures contract that we will receive
if we decide to accept (exercise) our right to receive the underlying
futures contract.
Let's
use an example, if we think the price of cotton is going higher
and the futures price is currently trading at 70.00 then we could
purchase a call option with a strike price of 71.00. For $1,000.
This is called an out of the money call because the futures price
is below the strike price. If we bought a call option with a strike
price of 69.00 this would be considered an in the money option.
If we purchased the call option with a 71.00 strike this would
mean we have the right to purchase the futures contract at 71.00
before expiration
Table
1.1 will give you a clear picture on how to relate the strike
price of a call option (a call buyer expects the underlying futures
price to go up) to the underlying futures price.
Ex.
1 If the futures price is at 69.25
Strike
71.00 - out of the money
Strike
70.00 - out of the money
Strike
69.00 - in the money |
Ex.
2 If the futures price is at 70.50
Strike
71.00 - out of the money
Strike
70.00 - in the money
Strike
69.00 - in the money |
|
Ex.
3 If the futures price is at 71.90
Strike 71.00 - in the money
Strike 70.00 - in the money
Strike 69.00 - in the money
|
|
Table
1.1
|
Table 1.2 will give you a distinct picture on how to relate the
strike price of a put (a put buyer is expecting the market to
go down) option to the underlying futures price.
Ex.
1 If the futures price is at 69.75
Strike
71.00 - in the money
Strike
70.00 - in the money
Strike
69.00 - out of the money |
Ex.
2 If the futures price is at 70.50
Strike
71.00 - in the money
Strike
70.00 - out of the money
Strike
69.00 - out of the money |
|
Ex.
3 If the futures price is at 71.75
Strike 71.00 - out of the money
Strike 70.00 - out of the money
Strike 69.00 - out of the money
|
|
Table
1.2
|
An option will obviously vary in price depending on how much intrinsic
value and time value is remaining in the option's life. If a trader
was comparing prices on options of the same commodity but with
different delivery months and strike prices there would be noticeably
different prices on each strike price and each delivery month.
An option that has 4 months until expiration will have more time
value than an option with 1 month left until expiration therefore
the option with 4 months remaining until expiration will have
more time value and should reflect this in its premium (price).
An option that is further in the money will have a greater intrinsic
value than one that is out of the money therefore this difference
will be reflected in price.
Now
let's take a look at what we call the Greek terms of option trading.
The three Greek terms we will take a look at are DELTA, GAMMA
and THETA. The Delta is the percentage that the option moves with
the underlying futures contract. Example: a delta of 20 would
imply that for every 100 points that the future's contract price
moves the option will move 20 points. An option that is at the
money will have a delta of 50. (For every 100 points the futures
price moves the option will only move approximately 50 points.
An option that is at the money will have a delta of 50. As time
approaches the expiration the delta will increase to 1.00 for
in the money calls and puts. Contrarily the delta for out of the
money puts and calls will approach 0. We will talk about the delta
and how to make the delta work for you in the next section.
•
Theta-The rate at which an option decays over a period of time.
• Gamma -The rate of change of the delta
Option
Writing
Just
like a futures contract, an option must have a buyer for every
seller, (remember an open interest of 1 means there is 1 long
and 1 short), options also have an open interest. If an investor
buys an option he is said to be "long" the option. If
an investor sells an option that he doesn't already own he is
short the option, an option seller is also called an option writer
or grantor. An option purchaser has limited risk whereas an option
writer has unlimited risk and limited profit potential. When an
option purchaser buys an option the seller will collect the premium.
If the option expires worthless the buyer loses his premium plus
commissions paid and the seller receives the full amount of the
premium less commissions. See Example:
Investor "A" buys a copper option expiring in Dec with
a strike price of 104 copper for $250, the most he can lose is
$250. Investor "B" sells (writes) the same option and
collects the $250. Now, the most investor "B" can make
is $250, on the other hand, if the option expires worthless at
expiration the buyer will lose $250 and the grantor will make
$250.
If the option increases in value to $500 the buyer will obviously
have a profit of $250 excluding commissions, whereas, the grantor
will be holding a loss of $250.
Buyer
has limited Risk and unlimited profit potential.
Seller has unlimited risk and limited profit potential.
At
this point you may be asking yourself why anyone would want to
acquire a position that has limited gain and unlimited risk? Well
the answer lies in the notion that most out of the money options
expire worthless; as option sellers, although we do have unlimited
risk, this does not mean that we have to watch a position work
against us without doing any thing about it. As option sellers
we may buy back the options at any time, given, we are not in
a limit move. Your broker should be in a position to set a trade
alert on an option price so that once your risk level is at an
intolerable level he or she can call you or buy it back for you
based on your previous instructions. In order to better explain,
let's use the graph below on Lean Hogs to view the distance of
price and strike price relative to the time remaining on an option.
On
the above chart if the futures price moves up 100 points then
our option that we sold with a 6200 strike price for $200 will
work against us by approximately 20points (delta of .2 times 100pts),
compared to 100 points with a futures contract. Assuming a point
value of $4.00 per point then we would have a drawdown of $400
on the futures contract (the amount the futures position moves
against the investor) compared to an $80 drawdown if we had an
option. Because of the delta, we will experience a smaller drawdown
with a short call rather than a futures position. The Delta will
not however, stay constant at 20% because of the Gamma.
Volatility
Before
we move any further let us briefly explain volatility. There are
two types of volatility, historical and implied. Historical volatility
measures the range of a futures price over time. Implied volatility
reflects the markets consensus of expected volatility.
Option
markets with high volatility generally provide us with better
option selling opportunities. During high volatile markets, buyers
are willing to pay more for the likely hood of the underlying
futures contract moving a greater distance, whereas sellers are
more likely to want higher premiums because of the risk of the
underlying futures contract moving a greater distance.
If
we have an option that has implied volatility of 20%, this means
the underlying futures price two thirds of the time will most
likely be within a 20% higher or lower range then the current
price within one year.
Option highlights
Percentage
increase and decreases in volatility may help in factoring market
turning points or oversold and overbought conditions.
Volatility
ratios can be important in detecting market tops or bottoms. Percentages
that volatility increases or decreases can help us detect possible
market turning points.
An
option loses the greatest amount of time in the last 45-30 days
of its life. See graph.
The
last 30-45 days of an options life is an ideal time for option
sellers that are holding options far away from the money because
this is when we experience the greatest amount of time decay.
The
best opportunities come in high volatile markets because of the
premium that buyers are willing to pay for the chance of their
option strike price coming into the money, or as a hedge against
a futures position.
Below
is a list of various option strategies:
- Long
call - Buy a call; you are expecting the underlying
futures price to go higher.
- Long
put - Buy a put; you are expecting the underlying futures
price to go lower.
- Short
call - sell a call that you do not own; you are bearish
on the underlying futures market or at least not expecting the
market to rise to your strike price that you sold.
- Short
Put - sell a put that you do not own; your are bullish
on the underlying futures market or at least not expecting the
futures market to go to your strike price.
- Bull
call spread - Buy a near the money call and sell an
out of the money call.
- Bear
Put spread- Buy a near the money put and sell an out
of the money put.